Kenny to do what Bertie couldnt?
Enda Kenny has today claimed that he can lead Fine Gael to an overall majority in the next Dáil. Speaking on Marian Finucane this morning, Deputy Kenny said “he does not think it is beyond the bounds of possibility that his party could win an overall majority in the next general election.” As well as blustering on about how his party is the only party with a plan, he said he wouldnt cut child benefit. Now forgive me if I’m narky this morning because of a Sore Throat and having my morning slumber interrupted by the wish-washy tones of a has-been Fine Gaeler waffling and meandering in search of column inches, but the Government and Fianna Fáil have a plan. The Smart Economy Framework, the Programme for Government and other documents set out the Government’s stall in relation to the next number of years. This man is a muppet!!!
However, I do accept that Fine Gael will pick up extra seats at the expense of Fianna Fáil in the next election. Labour and Fine Gael should form the next Government, and if they dont, they should be all shot at dawn by their party members. I dont however accept that things will be as bad for Fianna Fáil as is predicted or nearly as bad as some political commentators hope.
Here’s how I think it will pan out – General Election April 2012
Fianna Fáil: 33% (55)
Fine Gael: 32% (65)
Labour: 19% (25)
Greens: 3% (1)
Sinn Féin: 5% (6)
Ind’s / Others: 8% (14)
Fine Gael and Lab will form a Government. Fianna Fáil will go into opposition badly bruised but not destroyed. FF will regroup for a year or two, allow water to flow under the bridge between their term in office and the new government. Radical reorganisation of the party and a mammoth overhaul of the Fianna Fáil policy platform.
Three to four years later, cracks will appear in the coalition or maybe sooner if any reform needs to be implemented. Government falls or Enda goes to the people (he’ll be shocking old this stage), and bang….Fianna Fáil is back!!
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